GreenCard Radar

F4 Mexico Priority Date Forecast

F4 is the family category for brothers and sisters of adult U.S. citizens, and for Mexico it is among the most backlogged categories anywhere in the Visa Bulletin — its Final Action Date sits decades behind the filing date. Here is how it has actually moved, and what our velocity model projects from the current cutoff.

Current F4 Mexico Final Action Dates (July 2026): Apr 8, 2001

Cutoff movement

Jan 1994Aug 1997Apr 2001Oct 2009Jul 2026

Higher = a more recent priority date is being processed (faster). Flat or downward stretches are stalls and retrogressions. Months where the category was Unavailable are not plotted.

Worked example — priority date January 1, 2003

Over the trailing window this cutoff has not advanced on net (median 0 days/month, 0 retrogressions). We do not publish a forward date when the data shows no measurable forward movement — that would be a guess.

This is a statistical projection of cutoff movement, not a prediction of your individual case. Run your own date in the priority date calculator, or see the methodology and our accuracy scorecard.

Related

Sources & verification

Compiled and reviewed by the GreenCard Radar editorial team · Data as of July 2026

How we build & backtest these estimates →