EB-3 China Priority Date Forecast
EB-3 China often moves in tandem with — and at times ahead of — EB-2 China, which is why many applicants weigh downgrading from EB-2 to EB-3. Here is how the EB-3 China Final Action Date has actually moved, and what our velocity model projects from the current cutoff.
Current EB-3 China Final Action Dates (July 2026): Dec 22, 2021
Cutoff movement
Higher = a more recent priority date is being processed (faster). Flat or downward stretches are stalls and retrogressions. Months where the category was Unavailable are not plotted.
Worked example — priority date June 1, 2022
Estimated to become Current around July 1, 2029 (range October 1, 2026 – May 1, 2053).
≈ 36 months out, based on a trailing 24-month median advance of 5 days/month (volatility ±52 days/month, 1 retrogression in window).
This is a statistical projection of cutoff movement, not a prediction of your individual case. Run your own date in the priority date calculator, or see the methodology and our accuracy scorecard.
Related
- EB-2 India priority date forecast →
- EB-3 India priority date forecast →
- EB-1 India priority date forecast →
- EB-2 China priority date forecast →
- I-485 processing times — your next step once your priority date is Current →
- All Visa Bulletin cutoffs & forecasts →
- Talk to an immigration attorney about your timeline →
Sources & verification
Compiled and reviewed by the GreenCard Radar editorial team · Data as of July 2026